FiveThirtyEight
Data-driven news and analysis from Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight
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How The Raptors Pulled Off A 26-3 Run — And Sealed Their…
With 2:18 left in the third quarter of Game 6 of the Eastern Conference finals, Milwaukee Bucks forward Ersan Ilyasova trudged to the free-throw line. After he …
Where Democrats And Republicans Live In Your City
Republicans and Democrats tend not to live side-by-side, even when they live in the same city.
Our Model Loves The Raptors. (Maybe A Little Too Much?)
The FiveThirtyEight predictions have Toronto favored to beat Golden State in the NBA Finals.
What The Potential 2020 Candidates Are Doing And Saying, Vol. 20
Welcome to a weekly collaboration between FiveThirtyEight and ABC News. With 5,000 people seemingly thinking about challenging President Trump in 2020 — Democra…
The Bucks Need To Solve Their Half-Court Offense, And Quickly
In many ways, Thursday’s pivotal Game 5 between the Raptors and Bucks embodied the topsy-turvy nature of this Eastern Conference finals series as a whole. Milwa…
Can Tuukka Rask Sustain His MVP-Caliber Postseason?
The Boston Bruin leads all playoff goaltenders in save percentage and goals against average.
One Small Step For Man, One Giant Coin Flip For Mankind
Welcome to The Riddler. Every week, I offer up problems related to the things we hold dear around here: math, logic and probability. There are two types: Riddle…
Is The Economy Protecting Trump From A Trade War Backlash?
Poll of the week Trade wars can sting. Talks between the U.S. and China broke down this month, and President Trump raised tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese imp…
Surprise Medical Bills Give Both Parties an Unexpected Opportunity to Agree
A consensus that there’s a problem doesn’t mean it will be easy to come together on a solution.
Are More Moderate Democrats More Electable?
I have a dilemma for you, dear reader. I have a righteous little bulletpoint-sized rant to make about ill-informed media coverage of polling in the recent Austr…
Politics Podcast: What We Can Learn From A Database Of Trump’s False…
The folks at The Washington Post’s Fact Checker recently hit a data-collection milestone. In late April, its count of false or misleading claims that President …
Global Club Soccer Rankings
FiveThirtyEight's global club soccer rankings compare hundreds of men's soccer teams across dozens of leagues
The Candidates Who Are Going All In On Iowa Or New Hampshire
Some presidential candidates like to put all of their eggs in one early-state basket.
2018-19 NBA Predictions
FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals.
Are More Moderate Democrats More Electable?
I have a dilemma for you, dear reader. I have a righteous little bulletpoint-sized rant to make about ill-informed media coverage of polling in the recent Austr…
MLB Curves And Sliders Have Gotten Alarmingly Nasty
Yes, fastballs are faster. But breaking balls are breaking more than ever, too.
The WNBA Is Uniquely Suited To Survive Its Many Star Absences
The league draws from an exceptionally deep pool of talent.
Where The Algorithms Can’t Find You
A man wearing a red flannel shirt and brown suspenders walks into a clearing. His beard is well kempt, the same off-white as the snowmelt behind him. “Good afte…
The States Where Trump Is More (And Less) Popular Than He ‘Should’…
In recent months, President Trump’s approval and disapproval ratings have been unimpressive, stubbornly stuck around 42 percent and 53 percent, respectively, ac…
Politics Podcast: What We Can Learn From A Database Of Trump’s False…
The folks at The Washington Post’s Fact Checker recently hit a data-collection milestone. In late April, its count of false or misleading claims that President …
Who Should The Warriors Be Rooting For In The East?
Although the Eastern Conference finals are still tied at two games apiece, we’re already looking ahead to the NBA Finals. In the video above, FiveThirtyEight’s …
Significant Digits For Thursday, May 23, 2019
You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. 3 minutes President Trump walked out of a meeting with the Democratic c…
MLB Curves And Sliders Have Gotten Alarmingly Nasty
Yes, fastballs are faster. But breaking balls are breaking more than ever, too.