The favorites, the Cinderellas and the teams to avoid when filling out your bracket.

We started off the 2020 cycle with an informal heuristic: While many long shots would run for president, we would focus our coverage on candidates who had previ…

You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. For even more facts, figures and discussion, check out our live FiveThi…

There has been a debate, both in the run-up to and since last week’s launch of Beto O’Rourke’s presidential campaign, about his ideology and policy positions. I…

The Democratic primary field is taking shape. In this episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew debates which candidates have done the best job …

One of the strongest selling points of Sen. Amy Klobuchar’s presidential campaign is her electability. That can be a problematic term, but in this case, we’re b…

Will a metric called “partisan bias” convince the Supreme Court that the North Carolina congressional map is a partisan gerrymander?

A bounce back for the center fielder could mean everything to Minnesota's season.

This pooled cohort study reports that consumption of an additional 300 mg of dietary cholesterol per day or an additional half egg per day is significantly associated with higher risk of incident…

At 5:03 a.m. on Monday, Politico published a story on former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke’s “rocky rollout” to his presidential campaign, which launched last week. …

The favorites, the Cinderellas and the teams to avoid when filling out your bracket.

Daniel Straub remembers the night he got hooked on basic income. He had invited Götz Werner, a billionaire owner of a German drugstore chain, to give an independent talk in Zurich, where Straub was…

You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news. For even more facts, figures and discussion, check out our live FiveThi…

This is the Trump Docket, where we track some of the most important legal cases of the Trump presidency and how their results could shape presidential power. Qu…

References Brian Burke’s Excitement Index / DonBest injury report / ESPN’s BPI / Sports-Reference.com Jeff Sagarin’s ratings / Joel Sokol’s LRMC ratings / Ken M…

FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and women’s NCAA Tournament forecasting models calculate the chance of each team reaching each round.

Or is Pelosi's stance on impeachment the real problem?

Few things stay the same from one presidential primary season to another, but one remains constant: Iowa holds its caucuses first, and New Hampshire follows wit…

How Mueller's probe compares with the work of other special counsels

The AL and NL are already pretty similar.

UPDATE (March 14, 2019, 1:18 p.m.): On Thursday, Google announced that one of its employees, Emma Haruka Iwao, had found nearly 9 trillion new digits of pi, set…

Every year, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issues an estimate of the number of people nonfatally injured by guns, but even by the agency’s own s…

There’s a lot of news right now about conflicts within the Democratic Party, and similar stories will likely continue to pop up for the next two years. Much of …

FiveThirtyEight is tracking Donald Trump’s approval ratings throughout his presidency.